Colorado Flips and Ohio Moves Towards Dark Blue

Monday (10/15/12) was the first day where we could see some of the aftermath from Joe Biden's crushing Vice President debate performance on Thursday. Most of the action was in Ohio, where the pollster PPP reported a 51% to 46% advantage to Obama in a poll taken over the weekend.

Other national polls that involve polling after the Vice President debate have driven some changes that affect the swing state map. Most notably, Colorado and Virginia are likely in the midst of moving back into Obama's favor.

While Romney still has about a 1.5% advantage in the general electorate, these small changes in the swing states improve Obama's chances significantly. Obama is poised to make a decisive comeback in Virginia and Colorado if he can muster a strong debate performance tonight. With Ohio in his pocket for now, Obama has a rare second opportunity to solidify his chances for reelection.

Tonight's debate promises to be one of the most important in history.

Here's the bottom line chances for victory if the election were held on 10/16/12:

• Obama — 99.1% (290 Electoral Votes)
• Romney — 0.9% (248 Electoral Votes)